Whether it’s flying cars or supersonic passenger jets, people love making predictions about transportation technology. There is something magical and intriguing about moving from place to place in better, faster, more efficient ways. But what does the future hold? Are any of the predictions reasonable? Let’s begin by examining the past and follow with a look at some of the popular predictions for the coming years.
A Brief Look at History
They say history repeats itself, so why not start by looking at what the past tells us about the future of transportation.
- Cars are Here to Stay. It appears thatcars are not going anywhere. While shapes, sizes, and forms will change, the actual car itself is here to stay. Self-driving and electric cars are around the corner, but don’t expect all cars to stray from the traditional, fuel-powered engine with manual driving. History has shown us that people need and enjoy driving powerful vehicles.
- Individual Car Ownership. The growing trend has been for fewer people to own cars. Car ownership, especially in big cities, is becoming less popular. Many people would prefer to use car sharing services, public transportation, and other alternatives, rather than pay for the upkeep of a personal vehicle. This trend will continue only as public transportation improves in the future.
- Trains. Sorry America, it doesn’t look like a full feature, high-speed rail network will ever be developed. The rise in automated cars, combined with the historical lack of interest in developing a network, will keep one from ever being built.
Specific Predictions for the Future of Transportation
While history can tell us a lot, there are bound to be some things we can’t even dream about. Here are a few predictions people in the industry are dreaming about, which are likely to come to fruition in the near future:
- Frictionless Vehicles. By the year 2030, experts predict we will see the first frictionless flying cars. These vehicles will have no moving parts and run on “binary power.” This is the concept where two harmless beams of energy intersect at a point in space and create a source of power. Researchers also believe binary power will one day replace all light bulbs.
- Drop in Costs. Many believe that by 2050, the average cost of a vehicle will be less than $5,000 at today’s rate of inflation. The incredible affordability of vehicles will likely mean an increased number of people able to buy a personal vehicle. The government may need to place restrictions on free-driving time and require reservations to use certain highways and roads.
- Ocean Traffic. While there will likely be increases in local production capabilities and 3D manufacturing, ocean traffic should increase as a whole. That’s because ships will utilize hydraulic science, reducing water resistance and increasing speeds.
GTG Technology Group
At GTG Technology Group, we build software to manage global transportation systems of every type. Whether it’s intermodal, brokerage, or drayage, we’ve been involved in the transportation industry for more than 100 years. Contact us today to learn more about our solutions and services.